What will Trump say during his rally in Daytona Beach, Florida?
50/50 line52%ICE
Line nearest 50/50
52%
Runner-up
94%
Biggest 24h move-30 pts
28%
24h volume
$340K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noSave America Act
96%
-2
America First
94%
+4
Gulf of America
86%
+4
China / Chinese
86%
Hormuz
86%
+14
Iran (5+ times)
82%
+6
Canada / Canadian
82%
+3
Fraud (3+ times)
80%
+16
Nuclear (3+ times)
78%
-4
Supreme Court
68%
-6
Steel
64%
-2
Kamala
60%
-16
+ 23 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Save America ActYES $13K · NO $0 · 4 orders · biggest $7K
- Event does not qualifyYES $0 · NO $8K · 1 orders · biggest $8K
- Crypto / BitcoinYES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- Fraud (3+ times)YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- China / ChineseYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- America FirstYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Save America Act | YES | 94¢ | $7K | |
| Save America Act | YES | 92¢ | $2K | |
| Fraud (3+ times) | YES | 82¢ | $2K | |
| Save America Act | YES | 91¢ | $2K | |
| America First | YES | 92¢ | $1K | |
| Save America Act | YES | 98¢ | $3K | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | NO | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Event does not qualify | NO | 99¢ | $8K | |
| China / Chinese | YES | 92¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
37| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Save America Act | 96% | -1.5 | $40K | $30K |
| America First | 94% | +4.0 | $2K | $4K |
| Tariff (3+ times) | 92% | -0.5 | $2K | $2K |
| Gulf of America | 86% | +4.5 | $7K | $7K |
| China / Chinese | 86% | -0.5 | $2K | $3K |
| Hormuz | 86% | +14.5 | $5K | $5K |
| Made in America / American Made | 84% | +0.5 | $5K | $5K |
| Iran (5+ times) | 82% | +5.5 | $6K | $5K |
| Canada / Canadian | 82% | +3.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Fraud (3+ times) | 80% | +16.5 | $6K | $10K |
| Nuclear (3+ times) | 78% | -3.5 | $8K | $6K |
| Supreme Court | 68% | -6.0 | $5K | $5K |
| Steel | 64% | -2.5 | $3K | $3K |
| Kamala | 60% | -16.5 | $4K | $3K |
| ICE | 52% | -9.5 | $9K | $6K |
| Electricity | 42% | +7.5 | $10K | $7K |
| Russia / Ukraine | 38% | -21.5 | $2K | $3K |
| Small Business | 28% | -30.5 | $4K | $4K |
| Insurance | 24% | +2.5 | $4K | $3K |
| Veteran | 22% | -14.5 | $2K | $2K |
| Space Force | 20% | -24.5 | $2K | $2K |
| Blockade | 16% | -25.5 | $5K | $4K |
| Israel / Israeli | 16% | -23.5 | $4K | $4K |
| Data Center | 16% | -10.5 | $4K | $5K |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | 15% | -5.0 | $12K | $14K |
| Windmill | 14% | -15.0 | $8K | $6K |
| Greenland | 14% | -13.0 | $7K | $5K |
| Fentanyl | 12% | -1.5 | $3K | $6K |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 12% | -6.5 | $11K | $9K |
| Social Security (5+ times) | 10% | -12.0 | $3K | $3K |
| Elon / Musk | 8% | -18.5 | $7K | $6K |
| Palestine / Palestinian | 8% | -8.5 | $1K | $975 |
| Ceasefire | 6% | — | $6K | $6K |
| Trump Account | 4% | +0.5 | $10K | $12K |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 4% | +2.0 | $85K | $102K |
| Peace in the Middle East | 2% | +1.0 | $19K | $20K |
| Event does not qualify | 2% | +1.0 | $26K | $22K |
Same series
- What will Trump say during his rally in Dubuque, Iowa?≈ Kamala 50% · settles 2026-11-15