What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Eli Lilly

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (197d) 24h volume 421 Open interest 2.8K Event Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 38 days · High 14% · Low 7% · 7d +11.1pp · 30d -9.1pp

LLY Eli Lilly & Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.