What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

TSMC

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (197d) 24h volume — Open interest 6.5K Event Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

11%

implied YES probability

Last 47 days · High 17% · Low 2% · 7d +18.2pp · 30d +225.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.