What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Madison Square Garden

Closes Jan 08, 2027 (182d) 24h volume 9 Open interest 490 Event Where will Drake perform in 2026?

44%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 62% · Low 45% · 7d -13.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.