Will Mary Peltola receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
chance of YES26%
-12.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
34–45%
24h volume
215
Open interest
1.9K
Large orders (14d)
—
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
At least 47%75%300
At least 48%59%200