Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?
chance of YES45%
+9.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
38–53%
24h volume
20
Open interest
440
Large orders (14d)
—
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
At least 44%96%207
At least 49%61%517