Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Florida Senate winner? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES12% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
7–19%
30d +0 pts · 7d +10 pts
24h volume
191.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
1.6M
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
11.0¢ 53,270 12.0¢ 25,440
10.0¢ 52,597 13.0¢ 69,231
9.9¢ 120 14.0¢ 33,154
9.7¢ 1,000 15.0¢ 20,252
9.2¢ 1,000 16.0¢ 1,451

Mid 11.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO89¢ 6,383$6K
NO89¢ 3,600$3K
YES11¢ 30,000$3K
YES11¢ 20,000$2K
NO90¢ 8,399$8K
YES11¢ 15,096$2K
NO90¢ 5,516$5K
NO90¢ 2,206$2K
NO90¢ 2,000$2K
NO90¢ 2,000$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.