What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 49.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 6:47 AM ET	YES	50¢	3,846	$2K
Oct 31, 4:30 AM ET	YES	50¢	12,000	$6K
Oct 31, 4:28 AM ET	YES	50¢	8,000	$4K
Oct 31, 4:12 AM ET	YES	50¢	2,898	$1K
Oct 31, 12:20 AM ET	YES	50¢	4,444	$2K
Oct 31, 12:10 AM ET	YES	50¢	3,285	$2K
Oct 30, 10:24 PM ET	YES	50¢	3,864	$2K
Oct 30, 10:15 PM ET	YES	50¢	9,661	$5K
Oct 30, 10:08 PM ET	NO	51¢	3,000	$2K
Oct 30, 9:57 PM ET	YES	50¢	3,864	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.