What does "Will Dan Osborn (as an independent)s win the Senate race in Nebraska?" resolve to?

Will Dan Osborn (as an independent)s win the Senate race in Nebraska?

What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 23.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 5:15 AM ET	NO	75¢	102,199	$77K
Oct 31, 5:09 AM ET	NO	73¢	3,000	$2K
Oct 31, 3:47 AM ET	NO	71¢	20,495	$14K
Oct 31, 3:00 AM ET	NO	67¢	10,230	$7K
Oct 31, 1:25 AM ET	YES	34¢	49,000	$17K
Oct 30, 5:45 PM ET	NO	69¢	11,250	$8K
Oct 30, 5:33 PM ET	NO	67¢	251,788	$169K
Oct 30, 5:32 PM ET	YES	34¢	5,000	$2K
Oct 30, 4:11 PM ET	NO	67¢	3,000	$2K
Oct 30, 10:28 AM ET	NO	67¢	2,042	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.