polymarket
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
↓ 45,000
26%
implied YES probability
+3.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 46% ·
Low 20%
· 7d +8.2pp
· 30d -36.1pp
How this market resolves
What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is asking whether Bitcoin will dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026. The current price of a yes outcome implies a 26% probability of this event occurring. Known facts informing the current price include the existing trend and volatility in the cryptocurrency market, as well as any recent or anticipated changes in market conditions that may impact Bitcoin's value. A significant change in market sentiment or a major regulatory development could potentially drive the price up if investors become more optimistic about Bitcoin's future value, while a prolonged bear market or increased selling pressure could push the price down. The market will resolve to "Yes" if any one-minute candle for Bitcoin between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, has a low price equal to or lower than $45,000.
Generated Jul 30, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.