What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

↓ 45,000

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume $14.4K Open interest $7.5M Event What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

40%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 90 days · High 55% · Low 24% · 7d -7.2pp · 30d +22.2pp

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.