What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

December 31, 2026

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume $7.0K Open interest $483.8K Event Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

26%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 90 days · High 46% · Low 26% · 7d +6.8pp · 30d 0.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

BASE Couchbase, Inc. Common Stock

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.