What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

September 30, 2026

Closes Jul 01, 2027 (287d) 24h volume $31.7K Open interest $643.1K Event Anthropic IPO by __?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 26% · Low 1% · 7d -6.7pp · 30d -93.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.