What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketCrypto

Will 1win launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (60d) All outcomes: Will 1win launch a token by ___?

chance of YES100% +2.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

83–100%

· 7d +3 pts

24h volume

—

USDC traded

Open interest

$3.5M

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

November 30, 2026100%—

October 31, 2026100%$3.6M

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 1win (https://x.com/1winToken), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.