P PolymarketCulture & Media

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES2% -4.8pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–9%
24h volume
$29.2K
USDC traded
Open interest
$147.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

90-11444%$23.6K
115-13942%$22.2K
140-1649%$40.8K
190-2140%$84.1K
65-890%$72.3K
240+0%$27.2K
215-2390%$48.2K
40-640%$37.5K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.

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