What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

↓ 800

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (129d) 24h volume $23 Open interest $3.8M Event What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 22% · Low 4% · 7d -30.8pp · 30d -40.0pp

How this market resolves

What price will Ethereum hit before 2027?

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is asking whether Ethereum will dip to $800 by December 31, 2026. The current price of a "yes" outcome implies a 20% probability that this event will occur. Known facts informing the current price include the market's reliance on Binance's one-minute candle data for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. The resolution of the market is tied to the lowest price recorded during this period, with a "yes" outcome triggered if any one-minute candle has a final low price equal to or lower than $800. Any changes that could impact the price up or down include shifts in Ethereum's trading volume, market sentiment, and broader crypto trends.

Generated Jun 19, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.