P PolymarketCrypto

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Settles Jan 01, 2028 (427d) All outcomes: Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

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chance of YES24%
Price range (120d)
19–32%
30d -23 pts · 7d -11 pts
24h volume
$6
USDC traded
Open interest
$161.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

$1B44%$132
$2B44%$27
$4B36%$51
$12B16%$217
$10B16%$29
$8B14%$1.3K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.