What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketMarkets & Companies

ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: IPOs before 2027?

chance of YES3%

Price range (120d)

2–12%

30d +61 pts · 7d +26 pts

24h volume

$28

USDC traded

Open interest

$372.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

SpaceX100%—

Cerebras100%—

Once Upon a Farm100%—

Wealthfront100%—

SHEIN100%—

Anthropic88%$5.2K

Perplexity11%$7

Celonis9%—

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.