What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

↑ 70,000

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume $773 Open interest $7.5M Event What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

84%

implied YES probability

+5.5pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 84% · Low 72% · 7d +12.7pp

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.