What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?

↓ 500

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (129d) 24h volume $239 Open interest $3.8M Event What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 78 days · High 10% · Low 2% · 7d -13.6pp · 30d +4.1pp

How this market resolves

What price will Ethereum hit before 2027?

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market asking whether Ethereum will dip to $500 by December 31, 2026, currently assigns a 6% probability to this outcome, as reflected in the YES price of 0.06. This assessment is informed by known facts about Ethereum's recent performance and market conditions. The current price does not reflect any specific event or development that would cause the price to move up or down; rather, it represents the collective sentiment of market participants. A change in this probability would require a significant shift in market expectations or new information affecting Ethereum's value.

Generated Jul 01, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.