Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

The prediction market for the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) being signed into law in 2026 indicates a 27% probability of this event occurring. The current price reflects the market's assessment of the likelihood of the bill passing both chambers of Congress and being signed by December 31, 2026. Known facts informing the current price include the ongoing legislative process and any publicly available information about the bill's progress. A change in the probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law would require significant developments in the legislative process or changes in the political landscape that impact the likelihood of the bill's passage.