Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?

Flavio Bolsonaro
Settles Oct 26, 2026 (6d) All outcomes: Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

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chance of YES72% +5.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
66–96%
· 7d -10 pts
24h volume
$35.8K
USDC traded
Open interest
$70.6K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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Other outcomes in this event

Lula26%$16.5K

How it settles

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.