What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

↑ 95,000

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (106d) 24h volume $879 Open interest $12.5M Event What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

26%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 44% · Low 10% · 7d -15.9pp · 30d +152.4pp

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.