P PolymarketCrypto

Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?

$2B
Settles Jan 01, 2027 (70d) All outcomes: Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

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Preview
chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
1–5%
30d -41 pts · 7d -50 pts
24h volume
—
USDC traded
Open interest
$839.8K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

$150M64%$232
$300M38%$1.0K
$500M20%$1.1K
$800M11%—
$1B5%—
$3B2%$13

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.