polymarket
Crypto
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
↓ 50,000
36%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 66% ·
Low 30%
· 7d +11.6pp
· 30d -30.6pp
How this market resolves
What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is asking whether Bitcoin will dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026. The current price of a yes outcome implies a 32% probability that this event will occur. Known facts informing the current price include the market's reliance on Binance's one-minute candle data for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. A change in the price of Bitcoin during this period would likely impact the yes outcome, as a decline in value could increase the likelihood of reaching $50,000 by year-end. Conversely, a rise in price would decrease the probability of the event occurring.
Generated Jul 27, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.