What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketCulture & Media

Someone else announced as next James Bond?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Next James Bond actor?

chance of YES0%

Price range (120d)

—

24h volume

—

USDC traded

Open interest

$308.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Jack Lowden36%$2.7K

Callum Turner29%$961

No Bond chosen18%$8.2K

Josh O'Connor9%$778

Jacob Elordi3%$526

Jack Barton1%—

Tom Francis1%$249

Joe Alwyn1%$306

How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.