What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

↑ 100,000

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (106d) 24h volume $22.2K Open interest $12.5M Event What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

16%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 32% · Low 8% · 7d -29.2pp · 30d +126.7pp

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.