What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

↑ 140,000

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume $850 Open interest $7.5M Event What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 14% · Low 5% · 7d -8.3pp · 30d -47.6pp

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.