Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

The prediction market is asking whether Bitcoin will reach a price of $140,000 by December 31, 2026. The current price of this market implies a 4% probability that this event will occur. This assessment is informed by the fact that the market's resolution source is Binance, which provides the "High" prices for the BTC/USDT pair on a one-minute candle basis. If any of these candles between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, have a final high price equal to or greater than $140,000, the market will resolve to "Yes". Conversely, if no such candle exists, the market will resolve to "No". Factors that could potentially increase the current YES price include significant increases in demand for Bitcoin, major advancements in its underlying technology, and changes in regulatory environments. On the other hand, a decrease in the YES price could be driven by decreased adoption rates, increased competition from alternative cryptocurrencies, or unforeseen market disruptions.