BITB · Expected Move
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF · ETF
The expected move for BITB is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
BITB straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current BITB Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.98
7-Day Straddle
$3.98
30-Day ATM IV
39.0%
IV Rank
7%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BITB's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
BITB Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261022 | $3.98 | $3.98 | 39.0% | 7% |
| 20261021 | $4.00 | $4.00 | 37.2% | 4% |
| 20261020 | $3.77 | $3.77 | 36.4% | 2% |
| 20261019 | $4.05 | $4.05 | 38.5% | 6% |
| 20261016 | $4.25 | $0.85 | 38.8% | 7% |
| 20261015 | $4.33 | $1.18 | 38.7% | 7% |
| 20261014 | $4.20 | $1.35 | 37.3% | 4% |
| 20261013 | $4.35 | $1.05 | 37.2% | 3% |
| 20261012 | $4.40 | $1.38 | 37.6% | 4% |
| 20260302 | $3.65 | $3.65 | 52.8% | 34% |
| 20260227 | $3.47 | $3.47 | 50.9% | 31% |
| 20260226 | $3.33 | $3.33 | 49.2% | 27% |
| 20260225 | $4.52 | $4.52 | 50.5% | 30% |
| 20260224 | $3.65 | $3.65 | 50.4% | 30% |
| 20260223 | $3.92 | $3.92 | 54.2% | 37% |
| 20260221 | $4.55 | $4.55 | — | — |
| 20260220 | $4.55 | $2.98 | 52.3% | 33% |
| 20260219 | $4.45 | $1.00 | 52.5% | 34% |
| 20260218 | $4.62 | $1.38 | 53.4% | 35% |
| 20260217 | $4.88 | $1.45 | 53.7% | 36% |
| 20260213 | $5.50 | $2.08 | 54.0% | 37% |
| 20260212 | $5.15 | $3.05 | 57.4% | 43% |
| 20260211 | $5.38 | $3.00 | 56.3% | 41% |
| 20260210 | $5.88 | $2.85 | 56.1% | 41% |
| 20260209 | $5.83 | $2.85 | 56.6% | 42% |
| 20260206 | $6.22 | $3.72 | 60.3% | 49% |
| 20260205 | $7.55 | $5.80 | 86.3% | 100% |
| 20260204 | $3.65 | $3.65 | 55.0% | 95% |
| 20260203 | $4.15 | $4.15 | 54.4% | 92% |
| 20260202 | $3.75 | $3.75 | 49.2% | 67% |
| 20260130 | $3.73 | $3.73 | 42.0% | 32% |
| 20260129 | $4.45 | $4.45 | 47.2% | 57% |
| 20260128 | $3.70 | $3.70 | 39.0% | 24% |
| 20260127 | $3.98 | $3.98 | 38.3% | 21% |
| 20260126 | $3.98 | $3.98 | 40.1% | 29% |
| 20260123 | $4.15 | $4.15 | 38.3% | 21% |
| 20260122 | $4.35 | $4.35 | 38.9% | 24% |
| 20260121 | $4.42 | $4.42 | 39.4% | 26% |
| 20260120 | $4.28 | $4.28 | 38.3% | 21% |
| 20260116 | $4.68 | $0.48 | 37.2% | 16% |
| 20260115 | $5.88 | $0.68 | 44.1% | 47% |
| 20260114 | $5.60 | $1.73 | 41.6% | 36% |
| 20260113 | $4.60 | $1.83 | 35.4% | 8% |
| 20260112 | $5.22 | $1.77 | 40.6% | 31% |
| 20260109 | $5.75 | $2.20 | 43.2% | 43% |
| 20260108 | $5.95 | $2.58 | 42.6% | 40% |
| 20260107 | $5.72 | $2.70 | 42.6% | 40% |
| 20260106 | $6.05 | $2.88 | 43.3% | 43% |
| 20260105 | $5.88 | $3.20 | 41.7% | 36% |
| 20260102 | $2.92 | $2.92 | 40.1% | 29% |
| 20251231 | $3.42 | $3.42 | 40.0% | 28% |
| 20251230 | $2.77 | $2.77 | 38.7% | 23% |
| 20251229 | $3.10 | $3.10 | 42.0% | 38% |
| 20251226 | $3.88 | $3.88 | 40.6% | 31% |
| 20251224 | $4.00 | $4.00 | 42.1% | 38% |
| 20251223 | $4.12 | $4.12 | 42.8% | 42% |
| 20251222 | $4.58 | $4.58 | 45.6% | 54% |
| 20251219 | $4.90 | $0.57 | 46.4% | 57% |
| 20251218 | $4.58 | $1.35 | 44.1% | 47% |
| 20251217 | $5.00 | $1.55 | 45.5% | 53% |
More on BITB
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.