DICE · Expected Move

Tema Trading & Prediction Markets ETF · ETF

Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels

The expected move for DICE is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

DICE straddle price & implied vol

24 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current DICE Expected Move

30-Day Straddle

$3.88

7-Day Straddle

$3.88

30-Day ATM IV

40.0%

IV Rank

Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to DICE's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.

DICE Straddle Price — Last 60 Days

Date	30D Straddle	7D Straddle	ATM IV	IV Rank
20261026	$3.88	$3.88	40.0%	4%
20261023	$3.28	$3.28	40.6%	5%
20261022	$3.20	$3.20	39.4%	2%
20261021	$2.42	$2.42	50.7%	33%
20261020	$2.95	$2.95	38.6%	0%
20261019	$3.05	$3.05	51.1%	—
20261016	$3.28	$2.27	48.0%	—
20261015	$3.40	$2.27	51.1%	—
20261014	$3.45	$3.75	47.3%	—
20261013	$3.50	$2.45	52.4%	—
20261012	$3.55	$2.62	45.1%	—
20261009	$3.60	$2.52	47.9%	—
20261008	$3.55	$2.60	56.4%	—
20261007	$3.50	$2.60	47.9%	—
20261006	$3.67	$2.73	47.1%	—
20261005	$3.83	$2.77	75.6%	—
20261002	$2.35	$2.35	44.5%	—
20261001	$2.33	$2.33	42.7%	—
20260930	$2.73	$2.73	54.8%	—
20260929	$3.48	$3.48	62.3%	—
20260928	$3.05	$3.05	63.5%	—
20260925	$3.08	$3.08	57.3%	—
20260924	$3.10	$3.10	59.8%	—
20260923	$3.08	$3.08	61.1%	—