EC · Expected Move

Ecopetrol S.A

The expected move for EC is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

EC straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current EC Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.50
7-Day Straddle
$1.50
30-Day ATM IV
39.2%
IV Rank
14%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to EC's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
EC Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $1.50 $1.50 39.2% 14%
20261021 $1.52 $1.52 35.2% 4%
20261020 $1.70 $1.70 39.8% 16%
20261019 $1.62 $1.62 37.8% 11%
20261016 $1.67 $0.55 37.8% 11%
20261015 $1.62 $0.40 36.6% 8%
20261014 $1.52 $0.80 33.9% 1%
20261013 $1.78 $1.00 37.6% 10%
20261012 $1.75 $0.62 38.7% 13%
20261009 $1.75 $0.62 38.9% 13%
20261008 $1.75 $0.57 37.2% 9%
20261007 $1.62 $1.23 39.6% 15%
20261006 $1.90 $0.98 43.6% 25%
20261005 $2.00 $1.00 39.8% 16%
20261002 $1.32 $1.32 40.3% 17%
20261001 $1.00 $1.00 37.7% 10%
20260930 $1.15 $1.15 38.8% 13%
20260929 $1.15 $1.15 39.8% 16%
20260928 $1.20 $1.20 39.7% 15%
20260925 $1.27 $1.27 39.1% 14%
20260924 $1.38 $1.38 40.4% 17%
20260923 $1.57 $1.57 43.2% 24%
20260922 $1.38 $1.38 39.7% 16%
20260921 $1.48 $1.48 43.6% 25%
20260918 $1.52 $0.78 39.1% 14%
20260917 $1.67 $0.75 42.2% 22%
20260916 $1.65 $0.55 42.2% 22%
20260915 $1.35 $0.65 34.9% 3%
20260914 $1.60 $0.68 37.7% 10%
20260911 $1.48 $0.83 35.7% 6%
20260910 $1.58 $0.75 35.1% 4%
20260909 $1.65 $0.80 35.9% 6%
20260908 $1.80 $0.65 58.1% 61%
20260904 $1.48 $1.02 33.5% 0%
20260903 $1.82 $0.97 37.8% 7%
20260902 $1.00 $1.00 37.9% 7%
20260901 $1.20 $1.20 39.8% 12%
20260831 $1.23 $1.23 40.5% 14%
20260828 $1.12 $1.12 35.6% 1%
20260827 $1.65 $1.65 45.4% 26%
20260826 $1.05 $1.05 35.2% 0%
20260825 $1.25 $1.25 36.8% 4%
20260824 $1.55 $1.55 47.3% 31%
20260821 $1.48 $0.43 37.6% 6%
20260820 $1.43 $0.88 35.4% 0%
20260819 $1.57 $0.57 38.6% 3%
20260818 $1.85 $0.60 — —
20260817 $1.68 $0.70 39.4% 5%
20260814 $1.60 $0.68 38.5% 2%
20260813 $1.65 $0.75 39.6% 5%
20260812 $1.95 $0.70 44.6% 19%
20260811 $1.75 $0.75 39.7% 6%
20260810 $1.88 $1.00 41.5% 11%
20260807 — — 39.6% 5%
20260806 $2.40 $1.27 47.8% 28%
20260805 $1.12 $1.12 42.0% 12%
20260804 $1.23 $1.23 42.1% 12%
20260803 $1.40 $1.40 59.4% 60%
20260731 $1.48 $1.48 45.3% 21%
20260730 $1.35 $1.35 42.8% 14%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.