ESNT · Expected Move

Essent Group LTD

The expected move for ESNT is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

ESNT straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current ESNT Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.00
7-Day Straddle
$5.00
30-Day ATM IV
32.0%
IV Rank
70%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ESNT's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
ESNT Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $5.00 $5.00 32.0% 70%
20261021 $4.20 $4.20 29.8% 57%
20261020 $5.25 $5.25 33.6% 75%
20261019 $4.33 $4.33 28.3% 46%
20261016 $4.85 $2.52 30.4% 58%
20261015 $4.93 $2.92 31.0% 61%
20261014 $5.70 $3.23 32.3% 68%
20261013 $6.30 $4.55 36.7% 93%
20261012 $5.88 $4.65 33.1% 73%
20261009 $6.28 $5.22 31.1% 61%
20261008 $4.42 $3.12 27.5% 41%
20261007 $6.45 $5.05 35.3% 85%
20261006 $5.00 $3.23 30.7% 59%
20261005 $6.38 $4.42 37.1% 95%
20261002 $2.80 $2.80 30.6% 58%
20261001 $4.40 $4.40 31.9% 66%
20260930 $3.95 $3.95 33.2% 73%
20260929 $4.55 $4.55 23.5% 18%
20260928 $2.12 $2.12 28.5% 46%
20260925 $2.58 $2.58 27.4% 40%
20260924 $1.88 $1.88 22.9% 15%
20260923 $2.30 $2.30 22.4% 12%
20260922 $4.18 $4.18 29.9% 54%
20260921 $4.20 $4.20 26.4% 35%
20260918 $4.10 $4.95 25.4% 29%
20260917 $4.67 $3.33 25.4% 29%
20260916 $3.67 $4.57 28.7% 48%
20260915 $3.42 $4.80 22.1% 10%
20260914 $3.25 $4.90 22.1% 10%
20260911 $3.45 $4.90 25.9% 23%
20260910 $3.60 $4.90 21.1% 3%
20260909 $3.53 $4.90 21.5% 5%
20260908 $3.67 $4.75 22.5% 9%
20260904 $3.62 $4.05 21.9% 6%
20260903 $3.62 $4.80 22.8% 10%
20260902 $4.97 $4.97 23.5% 13%
20260901 $3.33 $3.33 23.6% 13%
20260831 $5.15 $5.15 22.7% 10%
20260828 $4.75 $4.75 24.9% 18%
20260827 $5.50 $5.50 30.9% 43%
20260826 $5.55 $5.55 23.8% 14%
20260825 $3.15 $3.15 21.3% 4%
20260824 $5.45 $5.45 29.2% 36%
20260821 $5.22 $2.90 23.6% 13%
20260820 $4.55 $1.82 26.0% 23%
20260819 $4.92 $3.90 30.4% 41%
20260818 $5.10 $3.90 30.9% 42%
20260817 $4.95 $3.70 23.0% 11%
20260814 $3.60 $3.90 20.8% 2%
20260813 $5.10 $3.90 25.3% 20%
20260812 $3.62 $3.53 26.3% 24%
20260811 $4.53 $3.67 31.5% 45%
20260810 $5.58 $3.90 35.3% 60%
20260807 — — 26.4% 25%
20260806 $5.55 $4.75 34.8% 58%
20260805 $4.80 $4.80 31.5% 45%
20260804 $4.70 $4.70 32.8% 50%
20260803 $5.25 $5.25 27.2% 28%
20260731 $4.90 $4.90 28.3% 32%
20260730 $4.75 $4.75 30.1% 39%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.