FOSL · Expected Move
Fossil Group, Inc.
The expected move for FOSL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
FOSL straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current FOSL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.75
7-Day Straddle
$1.75
30-Day ATM IV
108.8%
IV Rank
44%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to FOSL's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
FOSL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261026 | $1.75 | $1.75 | 108.8% | 44% |
| 20261023 | $1.62 | $1.62 | 110.4% | 46% |
| 20261022 | $1.50 | $1.50 | 104.3% | 39% |
| 20261021 | $1.77 | $1.77 | 105.1% | 40% |
| 20261020 | $1.50 | $1.50 | 94.5% | 29% |
| 20261019 | $1.45 | $1.45 | 89.1% | 23% |
| 20261016 | $1.77 | $0.33 | 100.8% | 36% |
| 20261015 | $1.55 | $1.30 | 91.1% | 25% |
| 20261014 | $1.62 | $0.70 | 93.1% | 27% |
| 20261013 | $1.55 | $0.60 | 84.6% | 18% |
| 20261012 | $1.52 | $0.78 | 84.0% | 18% |
| 20261009 | $1.75 | $0.78 | 91.7% | 26% |
| 20261008 | $1.92 | $0.75 | 102.3% | 37% |
| 20261007 | $1.77 | $0.98 | 94.5% | 29% |
| 20261006 | $1.70 | $0.98 | 87.8% | 22% |
| 20261005 | $2.10 | $0.95 | 102.5% | 38% |
| 20261002 | $0.85 | $0.85 | 94.5% | 29% |
| 20261001 | $1.18 | $1.18 | 91.0% | 25% |
| 20260930 | $1.12 | $1.12 | 102.9% | 38% |
| 20260929 | $1.10 | $1.10 | 102.2% | 37% |
| 20260928 | $0.78 | $0.78 | 93.1% | 27% |
| 20260925 | $1.02 | $1.02 | 89.6% | 24% |
| 20260924 | $0.97 | $0.97 | 91.8% | 26% |
| 20260923 | $0.85 | $0.85 | 101.4% | 36% |
| 20260922 | $1.20 | $1.20 | 88.0% | 22% |
| 20260921 | $1.02 | $1.02 | 88.1% | 22% |
| 20260918 | $1.30 | $1.02 | 78.0% | 11% |
| 20260917 | $1.07 | $0.50 | 72.8% | 5% |
| 20260916 | $0.97 | $0.68 | 81.5% | 15% |
| 20260915 | $1.07 | $0.35 | 90.9% | 25% |
| 20260914 | $0.90 | $0.40 | 76.7% | 10% |
| 20260911 | $0.95 | $0.62 | — | — |
| 20260910 | $1.25 | $0.88 | 100.0% | 35% |
| 20260909 | $1.15 | $0.45 | 89.5% | 23% |
| 20260908 | $1.15 | $0.50 | 109.5% | 45% |
| 20260904 | $1.08 | $0.75 | 82.3% | 16% |
| 20260903 | $1.17 | $0.57 | 88.4% | 22% |
| 20260902 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 85.4% | 19% |
| 20260901 | $0.80 | $0.80 | 89.2% | 23% |
| 20260831 | $0.65 | $0.65 | 82.7% | 16% |
| 20260828 | $0.72 | $0.72 | 79.7% | 13% |
| 20260827 | $1.90 | $1.90 | 84.4% | 18% |
| 20260826 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 80.8% | 14% |
| 20260825 | $0.80 | $0.80 | 82.5% | 16% |
| 20260824 | $0.88 | $0.88 | 77.7% | 11% |
| 20260821 | $0.90 | $0.50 | 67.8% | 0% |
| 20260820 | $0.93 | $0.50 | 69.0% | 0% |
| 20260819 | $0.97 | $0.75 | 78.3% | 0% |
| 20260818 | $0.93 | $0.58 | 80.1% | 1% |
| 20260817 | $1.42 | $1.10 | 98.3% | 23% |
| 20260814 | $1.40 | $1.05 | 92.9% | 16% |
| 20260813 | $1.25 | $0.75 | 106.2% | 33% |
| 20260812 | $1.25 | $1.02 | 106.2% | 33% |
| 20260811 | $1.32 | $1.23 | 107.2% | 34% |
| 20260810 | $1.78 | $1.15 | 156.6% | 95% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 114.9% | 44% |
| 20260806 | $2.03 | $1.62 | 127.5% | 59% |
| 20260805 | $1.43 | $1.43 | 117.4% | 47% |
| 20260804 | $1.43 | $1.43 | 119.0% | 49% |
| 20260803 | $1.88 | $1.88 | 131.2% | 64% |
More on FOSL
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.