HOND · Expected Move
HCM II Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
The expected move for HOND is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
HOND straddle price & implied vol
57 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current HOND Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$7.03
7-Day Straddle
$5.55
30-Day ATM IV
170.0%
IV Rank
85%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to HOND's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
HOND Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20251028 | $7.03 | $5.55 | 170.0% | 85% |
| 20251027 | $7.55 | $3.27 | 185.5% | 95% |
| 20251024 | $7.55 | $3.85 | 175.2% | 88% |
| 20251023 | $7.50 | $7.50 | 169.1% | 84% |
| 20251022 | $6.78 | $6.78 | 171.4% | 86% |
| 20251021 | $7.55 | $7.55 | 167.4% | 83% |
| 20251020 | $9.75 | $9.75 | 182.9% | 93% |
| 20251017 | $11.75 | $1.40 | 190.2% | 98% |
| 20251016 | $11.55 | $2.05 | 193.6% | 100% |
| 20251015 | $11.80 | $3.68 | 182.1% | 100% |
| 20251014 | $10.20 | $3.45 | 160.7% | 96% |
| 20251013 | $8.60 | $2.95 | 159.9% | 95% |
| 20251010 | $8.20 | $3.60 | 166.4% | 100% |
| 20251009 | $7.27 | $2.88 | 148.3% | 95% |
| 20251008 | $7.35 | $3.08 | 152.0% | 98% |
| 20251007 | $7.40 | $3.42 | 153.2% | 99% |
| 20251006 | $7.35 | $3.45 | 147.8% | 94% |
| 20251003 | $3.55 | $3.55 | 144.9% | 92% |
| 20251002 | $3.70 | $3.70 | 138.6% | 86% |
| 20251001 | $3.85 | $3.85 | 136.5% | 85% |
| 20250930 | $4.15 | $4.15 | 136.4% | 85% |
| 20250929 | $3.12 | $3.12 | 138.2% | 86% |
| 20250926 | $3.67 | $3.67 | 133.3% | 82% |
| 20250925 | $3.98 | $3.98 | 143.2% | 90% |
| 20250924 | $5.55 | $5.55 | 154.6% | 100% |
| 20250923 | $4.53 | $4.53 | 151.0% | 100% |
| 20250922 | $3.08 | $3.08 | 107.4% | 93% |
| 20250919 | $3.12 | $2.15 | 113.0% | 100% |
| 20250918 | $2.67 | $0.45 | 96.8% | 92% |
| 20250917 | $2.38 | $0.38 | 87.2% | 77% |
| 20250916 | $2.70 | $0.38 | 94.1% | 88% |
| 20250915 | $2.77 | $0.65 | 102.3% | 100% |
| 20250912 | $3.38 | $1.50 | 90.7% | 100% |
| 20250911 | $2.67 | $1.52 | 86.6% | 100% |
| 20250910 | $2.02 | $1.60 | 65.4% | 61% |
| 20250909 | $2.80 | $1.57 | 83.6% | 100% |
| 20250908 | $3.10 | $1.55 | 81.1% | 95% |
| 20250905 | $2.30 | $1.70 | 69.0% | 69% |
| 20250904 | $3.33 | $0.80 | 70.4% | — |
| 20250903 | $0.72 | $0.72 | 83.7% | — |
| 20250902 | $1.68 | $1.68 | 66.2% | — |
| 20250829 | $0.88 | $0.88 | 79.1% | — |
| 20250828 | $0.95 | $0.95 | 65.6% | — |
| 20250827 | $1.58 | $1.58 | 52.4% | — |
| 20250826 | $1.85 | $1.85 | 66.6% | — |
| 20250825 | $1.70 | $1.70 | 82.6% | — |
| 20250822 | $1.92 | $1.92 | 51.5% | — |
| 20250821 | $0.85 | $0.85 | 52.4% | — |
| 20250820 | $1.18 | $1.18 | 60.4% | — |
| 20250819 | $2.00 | $2.00 | 48.5% | — |
| 20250818 | $1.62 | $1.62 | 51.3% | — |
| 20250815 | $2.35 | $1.93 | 73.1% | — |
| 20250814 | $1.27 | $2.05 | 57.0% | — |
| 20250813 | $2.38 | $1.60 | 61.1% | — |
| 20250812 | $2.75 | $1.70 | 73.4% | — |
| 20250811 | $3.02 | $1.93 | 36.6% | — |
| 20250808 | $1.65 | $1.27 | 42.6% | — |
More on HOND
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.