MSTX · Expected Move

Tidal Trust II Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF · ETF

The expected move for MSTX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

MSTX straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current MSTX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.70
7-Day Straddle
$3.15
30-Day ATM IV
140.6%
IV Rank
22%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MSTX's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
MSTX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261027 $4.70 $3.15 140.6% 22%
20261026 $4.75 $2.28 142.3% 25%
20261023 $4.87 $2.56 139.6% 21%
20261022 $4.87 $2.83 139.7% 21%
20261021 $5.46 $3.16 137.6% 18%
20261020 $4.77 $3.12 136.7% 17%
20261019 $4.38 $1.74 135.4% 15%
20261016 $4.45 $2.05 143.3% 26%
20261015 $5.34 $2.88 137.7% 18%
20261014 $4.78 $2.73 135.3% 15%
20261013 $5.30 $2.92 130.4% 8%
20261012 $5.19 $2.00 124.3% 0%
20261009 $5.10 $2.43 125.3% 1%
20261008 $5.00 $2.73 127.7% 5%
20261007 $5.07 $2.65 124.4% 0%
20261006 $6.15 $3.36 127.1% 3%
20261005 $6.30 $2.40 128.3% 8%
20261002 $5.42 $2.63 124.7% 3%
20261001 $5.97 $2.98 134.8% 17%
20260930 $5.33 $2.93 127.3% 7%
20260929 $5.71 $3.17 133.3% 15%
20260928 $6.08 $2.57 132.1% 13%
20260925 $5.65 $2.92 129.6% 10%
20260924 $6.09 $3.25 135.1% 17%
20260923 $6.45 $3.50 134.9% 17%
20260922 $7.07 $4.11 140.3% 24%
20260921 $7.65 $3.39 147.6% 34%
20260918 $5.70 $2.93 137.3% 20%
20260917 $4.05 $2.09 129.4% 10%
20260916 $3.89 $2.21 132.4% 14%
20260915 $4.45 $2.60 137.1% 20%
20260914 $5.08 $2.17 143.1% 28%
20260911 $4.21 $1.98 136.6% 19%
20260910 $4.30 $2.37 141.8% 26%
20260909 $4.75 $2.75 144.9% 30%
20260908 $5.32 $3.17 148.6% 35%
20260904 $5.42 $2.66 145.8% 31%
20260903 $5.82 $3.38 151.8% 39%
20260902 $3.94 $2.08 132.7% 14%
20260901 $4.13 $2.35 133.8% 15%
20260831 $4.84 $2.03 137.7% 21%
20260828 $4.00 $2.00 132.1% 13%
20260827 $5.25 $2.84 145.9% 32%
20260826 $4.08 $2.37 136.7% 19%
20260825 $4.67 $2.87 144.8% 30%
20260824 $4.56 $2.05 150.5% 38%
20260821 $4.04 $2.19 151.8% 39%
20260820 $3.80 $2.20 154.2% 43%
20260819 $3.20 $1.73 140.9% 25%
20260818 $8.92 $1.38 129.8% 10%
20260817 $8.50 $1.04 131.5% 12%
20260814 $2.18 $1.09 128.4% 8%
20260813 $2.52 $1.32 133.2% 15%
20260812 $2.33 $1.29 126.6% 6%
20260811 $2.54 $1.41 130.8% 12%
20260810 $2.77 $1.06 138.0% 21%
20260807 — — 136.5% 19%
20260806 $2.73 $1.48 141.2% 25%
20260805 $2.90 $1.44 142.2% 27%
20260804 $3.03 $1.79 148.3% 35%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.