SERA · Expected Move

Sera Prognostics, Inc. Class A Common Stock

The expected move for SERA is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

SERA straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current SERA Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.40
7-Day Straddle
$0.40
30-Day ATM IV
269.1%
IV Rank
47%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SERA's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
SERA Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261026 $0.40 $0.40 269.1% 47%
20261023 $0.50 $0.50 241.3% 41%
20261022 $0.45 $0.45 242.2% 41%
20261021 $0.55 $0.55 248.0% 43%
20261020 $5.33 $5.33 — —
20261019 $5.45 $5.45 240.1% 41%
20261016 $0.50 $7.83 223.0% 37%
20261015 $0.45 $0.45 226.4% 38%
20261014 $0.55 $0.45 134.2% 19%
20261013 $0.60 $0.30 218.2% 36%
20261012 $0.70 $0.47 130.8% 18%
20261009 $0.65 $0.98 207.5% 34%
20261008 $0.80 $0.53 144.6% 21%
20261007 $0.65 $0.47 196.9% 32%
20261006 $0.57 $7.80 — —
20261005 $0.68 $0.50 206.0% 34%
20261002 $0.50 $0.50 186.5% 30%
20261001 $0.50 $0.50 190.1% 31%
20260930 $7.90 $7.90 179.2% 28%
20260929 $7.97 $7.97 — —
20260928 $0.88 $0.88 80.3% 8%
20260925 $8.00 $8.00 179.5% 28%
20260924 $7.80 $7.80 166.1% 25%
20260923 $0.53 $0.53 105.9% 13%
20260922 $7.80 $7.80 126.4% 12%
20260921 $0.53 $0.53 105.0% 9%
20260918 $0.45 $0.50 — —
20260917 $1.32 $0.55 — —
20260916 $1.88 $0.55 — —
20260915 $7.92 $0.68 — —
20260914 $0.88 $7.80 — —
20260911 $0.82 $0.62 — —
20260910 $0.80 $0.78 — —
20260909 $0.82 $0.57 — —
20260908 $7.92 $0.65 — —
20260904 $8.05 $0.68 — —
20260903 $1.75 $0.70 — —
20260902 $0.70 $0.70 — —
20260901 $0.65 $0.65 — —
20260831 $0.47 $0.47 — —
20260828 $0.70 $0.70 — —
20260827 $0.50 $0.50 — —
20260826 $0.45 $0.45 41.7% 0%
20260825 $0.57 $0.57 85.3% 6%
20260824 $0.60 $0.60 75.7% 4%
20260821 $0.38 $0.70 47.2% 0%
20260820 $0.57 $0.75 61.7% 0%
20260819 $1.05 $0.90 144.4% 11%
20260818 $2.60 $2.58 — —
20260817 $1.00 $0.95 103.6% 5%
20260814 $0.95 $1.40 75.8% 1%
20260813 $1.38 $0.88 — —
20260812 $1.05 $1.52 — —
20260811 $1.00 $3.05 108.4% 6%
20260810 $8.12 $8.03 525.9% 69%
20260806 $1.00 $0.95 165.2% 14%
20260805 $8.47 $8.47 132.0% 9%
20260804 $1.82 $1.82 — —
20260803 $0.62 $0.62 164.2% 14%
20260731 $8.07 $8.07 89.8% 3%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.