TLYS · Expected Move

Tilly's Inc.

The expected move for TLYS is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TLYS straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TLYS Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.38
7-Day Straddle
$1.38
30-Day ATM IV
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IV Rank
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Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TLYS's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TLYS Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261026 $1.38 $1.38 — —
20261023 $5.83 $5.83 102.3% 25%
20261022 $1.15 $1.15 111.1% 33%
20261021 $1.15 $1.15 100.7% 24%
20261020 $1.07 $1.07 92.4% 16%
20261019 $1.23 $1.23 97.6% 21%
20261016 $1.20 $10.38 97.6% 21%
20261015 $0.95 $1.78 75.5% 1%
20261014 $1.30 $10.43 94.9% 19%
20261013 $1.25 $0.85 — —
20261012 $1.30 $0.95 100.7% 24%
20261009 $1.25 $2.10 96.9% 20%
20261008 $2.25 $0.67 144.6% 64%
20261007 $1.30 $0.80 107.8% 30%
20261006 $1.25 $0.65 90.8% 15%
20261005 $1.30 $0.75 101.6% 25%
20261002 $0.72 $0.72 92.5% 16%
20261001 $0.72 $0.72 91.7% 16%
20260930 $0.68 $0.68 74.8% 0%
20260929 $0.70 $0.70 91.9% 12%
20260928 $0.95 $0.95 104.5% 24%
20260925 $1.07 $1.07 100.8% 20%
20260924 $1.12 $1.12 — —
20260923 $1.02 $1.02 80.1% 0%
20260922 $1.03 $1.03 94.2% 14%
20260921 $1.48 $1.48 113.0% 32%
20260918 $1.50 $1.00 131.8% 50%
20260917 $1.27 $0.75 108.1% 27%
20260916 $1.15 $0.50 96.4% 16%
20260915 $0.98 $0.53 84.0% 4%
20260914 $0.95 $0.45 80.9% 1%
20260911 $1.40 $0.88 116.3% 35%
20260910 $1.18 $2.08 88.0% 8%
20260909 $1.27 $0.97 — —
20260908 $1.15 $0.93 81.1% 1%
20260904 $1.17 $0.70 88.3% 8%
20260903 $1.32 $1.07 92.5% 12%
20260902 $1.45 $1.45 — —
20260901 $1.20 $1.20 101.6% 21%
20260831 $1.40 $1.40 113.9% 33%
20260828 $1.40 $1.40 — —
20260827 $1.85 $1.85 — —
20260826 $1.48 $1.48 — —
20260825 $2.88 $2.88 — —
20260824 $9.03 $9.03 151.1% 69%
20260821 $1.90 $1.68 163.4% 81%
20260820 $1.75 $1.45 147.4% 65%
20260819 $1.85 $1.47 — —
20260818 $8.88 $8.80 — —
20260817 $9.07 $1.45 130.3% 49%
20260814 $1.65 $2.33 — —
20260813 $2.83 $3.23 — —
20260812 $1.55 $1.30 119.5% 38%
20260811 $1.55 $8.32 137.9% 50%
20260810 $1.60 $3.17 124.7% 38%
20260806 $1.65 $8.43 117.0% 32%
20260805 $1.60 $1.60 150.9% 61%
20260804 $1.12 $1.12 128.7% 42%
20260803 $1.60 $1.60 179.1% 84%
20260731 $1.35 $1.35 — —

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.