TRAX · Expected Move

First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. Ordinary Shares

The expected move for TRAX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TRAX straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TRAX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$8.30
7-Day Straddle
$8.30
30-Day ATM IV
88.5%
IV Rank
12%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TRAX's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TRAX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261026 $8.30 $8.30 88.5% 12%
20261023 $8.78 $8.78 88.6% 12%
20261022 $8.20 $8.20 82.7% 0%
20261021 $8.95 $8.95 86.2% 5%
20261020 $8.88 $8.88 91.1% 15%
20261019 $8.30 $8.30 93.1% 19%
20261016 $8.60 $2.47 100.0% 34%
20261015 $8.38 $4.15 94.2% 21%
20261014 $8.88 $2.85 99.4% 32%
20261013 $7.92 $3.88 95.2% 24%
20261012 $8.95 $4.58 99.2% 32%
20261009 $9.20 $4.17 107.8% 50%
20261008 $10.25 $5.47 120.2% 75%
20261007 $10.25 $5.88 126.2% 88%
20261006 $10.95 $6.42 129.0% 93%
20261005 $12.15 $7.55 132.2% 100%
20261002 $7.20 $7.20 123.4% 87%
20261001 $7.60 $7.60 127.4% 96%
20260930 $8.28 $8.28 128.8% 98%
20260929 $8.03 $8.03 124.9% 90%
20260928 $8.25 $8.25 124.6% 89%
20260925 $9.00 $9.00 128.8% 98%
20260924 $9.40 $9.40 129.5% 100%
20260923 $9.75 $9.75 125.1% 93%
20260922 $11.00 $11.00 127.8% 99%
20260921 $10.65 $10.65 128.1% 100%
20260918 $10.95 $2.67 127.5% 100%
20260917 $10.75 $2.70 119.7% 100%
20260916 $10.60 $3.95 119.9% 100%
20260915 $10.90 $4.55 119.7% 100%
20260914 $10.80 $5.35 118.3% 100%
20260911 $10.15 $4.70 113.9% 90%
20260910 $10.90 $5.05 113.1% 87%
20260909 $11.45 $6.30 115.5% 94%
20260908 $12.75 $7.30 117.4% 100%
20260904 $11.90 $6.32 108.0% 96%
20260903 $12.90 $6.93 104.8% 84%
20260902 $7.60 $7.60 108.9% 100%
20260901 $6.78 $6.78 102.7% 80%
20260831 $7.53 $7.53 105.4% 91%
20260828 $7.40 $7.40 97.3% 57%
20260827 $8.60 $8.60 100.8% 72%
20260826 $8.45 $8.45 98.8% 63%
20260825 $8.85 $8.85 101.2% 73%
20260824 $9.50 $9.50 104.7% 88%
20260821 $9.40 $3.15 98.3% 61%
20260820 $9.40 $3.83 93.9% 43%
20260819 $9.90 $4.40 96.0% 52%
20260818 $9.78 $4.55 95.7% 50%
20260817 $9.88 $5.05 96.8% 55%
20260814 $10.32 $5.75 95.8% 51%
20260813 $10.60 $5.85 96.1% 52%
20260812 $11.70 $7.50 101.1% 73%
20260811 $11.70 $7.75 101.4% 74%
20260810 $12.50 $8.05 102.1% 78%
20260807 — — 95.4% —
20260806 $13.05 $9.10 101.4% —
20260805 $8.80 $8.80 104.5% —
20260804 $9.30 $9.30 103.3% —
20260803 $8.90 $8.90 104.3% —

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.