UST · Expected Move
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury · ETF
The expected move for UST is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
UST straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current UST Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.50
7-Day Straddle
$1.50
30-Day ATM IV
16.5%
IV Rank
51%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UST's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
UST Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261022 | $1.50 | $1.50 | 16.5% | 51% |
| 20261021 | $0.00 | $0.00 | 14.2% | 35% |
| 20261020 | $0.00 | $0.00 | 15.9% | 47% |
| 20261019 | $0.00 | $0.00 | 18.6% | 66% |
| 20261016 | $1.45 | $0.15 | 15.2% | 42% |
| 20261015 | $1.43 | $0.33 | 14.7% | 39% |
| 20261014 | $1.52 | $0.78 | 16.8% | 53% |
| 20261013 | $1.45 | $1.50 | 14.5% | 37% |
| 20261012 | $1.45 | $0.53 | 14.8% | 39% |
| 20261009 | $1.48 | $0.57 | 14.3% | 36% |
| 20261008 | $1.57 | $0.70 | 15.0% | 40% |
| 20261007 | $1.30 | $0.70 | 22.9% | 95% |
| 20261006 | $1.65 | $0.73 | 15.5% | 44% |
| 20261005 | $1.80 | $0.88 | 21.5% | 86% |
| 20261002 | $0.90 | $0.90 | 16.7% | 53% |
| 20261001 | $0.98 | $0.98 | 23.5% | 100% |
| 20260930 | $1.05 | $1.05 | 16.3% | 51% |
| 20260929 | $1.05 | $1.05 | 15.8% | 48% |
| 20260928 | $2.10 | $2.10 | 23.2% | 100% |
| 20260925 | $2.23 | $2.23 | 20.2% | 91% |
| 20260924 | $1.25 | $1.25 | 20.5% | 94% |
| 20260923 | $0.97 | $0.97 | 13.5% | 36% |
| 20260922 | $2.17 | $2.17 | 19.2% | 83% |
| 20260921 | $1.05 | $1.05 | 12.1% | 25% |
| 20260918 | $0.80 | $0.53 | 12.2% | 25% |
| 20260917 | $1.02 | $0.25 | 11.3% | 18% |
| 20260916 | $1.23 | $1.60 | 13.4% | 35% |
| 20260915 | $1.27 | $0.67 | 13.3% | 35% |
| 20260914 | $1.25 | $1.47 | 12.7% | 30% |
| 20260911 | $1.30 | $1.67 | 14.0% | 40% |
| 20260910 | $1.35 | $0.73 | 13.6% | 36% |
| 20260909 | $1.20 | $0.75 | 11.4% | 19% |
| 20260908 | $1.23 | $0.60 | 14.7% | 46% |
| 20260904 | $2.42 | $0.65 | 18.7% | 79% |
| 20260903 | $1.23 | $0.73 | 11.6% | 19% |
| 20260902 | $0.73 | $0.73 | 12.6% | 26% |
| 20260901 | $0.80 | $0.80 | 15.8% | 51% |
| 20260831 | $0.78 | $0.78 | 11.1% | 15% |
| 20260828 | $0.82 | $0.82 | 10.8% | 13% |
| 20260827 | $0.97 | $0.97 | 10.9% | 13% |
| 20260826 | $1.00 | $1.00 | 12.9% | 28% |
| 20260825 | $0.78 | $0.78 | 15.7% | 50% |
| 20260824 | $0.98 | $0.98 | 10.9% | 12% |
| 20260821 | $1.02 | $1.32 | 11.2% | 15% |
| 20260820 | $1.07 | $1.43 | 10.9% | 12% |
| 20260819 | $1.00 | $0.40 | 10.6% | 10% |
| 20260818 | $1.82 | $1.47 | 9.2% | 0% |
| 20260817 | $1.12 | $0.35 | 11.1% | 9% |
| 20260814 | $1.17 | $1.55 | 10.8% | 7% |
| 20260813 | $0.85 | $1.65 | 11.0% | 8% |
| 20260812 | $1.23 | $0.57 | 11.0% | 9% |
| 20260811 | $1.25 | $0.62 | 11.6% | 13% |
| 20260810 | $1.30 | $0.65 | 11.8% | 15% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 11.2% | 10% |
| 20260806 | $1.48 | $0.85 | 16.2% | 48% |
| 20260805 | $0.80 | $0.80 | 11.7% | 14% |
| 20260804 | $0.98 | $0.98 | 12.0% | 16% |
| 20260803 | $0.85 | $0.85 | 12.4% | 19% |
| 20260731 | $0.93 | $0.93 | 12.6% | 21% |
| 20260730 | $2.08 | $2.08 | 11.8% | 14% |
More on UST
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.