XBIL · Expected Move
US Treasury 6 Month Bill ETF · ETF
The expected move for XBIL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
XBIL straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current XBIL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.50
7-Day Straddle
$0.50
30-Day ATM IV
5.9%
IV Rank
14%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to XBIL's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
XBIL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261022 | $0.50 | $0.50 | 5.9% | 14% |
| 20261021 | $0.20 | $0.20 | 7.7% | 26% |
| 20261020 | $0.17 | $0.17 | 6.8% | 20% |
| 20261019 | $1.50 | $1.50 | 4.1% | 3% |
| 20261016 | $0.17 | $2.55 | 3.9% | 2% |
| 20261015 | $2.27 | $0.15 | 12.9% | 58% |
| 20261014 | $0.95 | $0.12 | 4.0% | 2% |
| 20261013 | $0.42 | $2.65 | 3.7% | 0% |
| 20261012 | $0.50 | $1.73 | 3.6% | 0% |
| 20261009 | $0.20 | $1.38 | 4.2% | 2% |
| 20261008 | $0.17 | $0.62 | 4.0% | 1% |
| 20261007 | $0.50 | $2.67 | 4.0% | 1% |
| 20261006 | $0.17 | $1.43 | 4.0% | 1% |
| 20261005 | $0.17 | $0.15 | 4.2% | 2% |
| 20261002 | $1.43 | $1.43 | 4.0% | 1% |
| 20261001 | $0.15 | $0.15 | 4.0% | 1% |
| 20260930 | $1.40 | $1.40 | 3.8% | 0% |
| 20260929 | $0.12 | $0.12 | 9.5% | 29% |
| 20260928 | $1.45 | $1.45 | 10.2% | 34% |
| 20260925 | $2.72 | $2.72 | 8.4% | 21% |
| 20260924 | $2.72 | $2.72 | 7.7% | 17% |
| 20260923 | $2.72 | $2.72 | 6.3% | 10% |
| 20260922 | $0.65 | $0.65 | 6.0% | 9% |
| 20260921 | $1.60 | $1.60 | 6.0% | 11% |
| 20260918 | $1.77 | $2.38 | 10.8% | 42% |
| 20260917 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 10.9% | 42% |
| 20260916 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 10.7% | 41% |
| 20260915 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 10.5% | 40% |
| 20260914 | $1.80 | $0.75 | 8.5% | 27% |
| 20260911 | $1.25 | $0.75 | 10.7% | 42% |
| 20260910 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 10.8% | 42% |
| 20260909 | $1.88 | $1.25 | 12.4% | 52% |
| 20260908 | $1.88 | $5.38 | 11.5% | 46% |
| 20260904 | $1.93 | $0.75 | 16.4% | 79% |
| 20260903 | $1.93 | $0.75 | 16.3% | 78% |
| 20260902 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 15.4% | 72% |
| 20260901 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 11.0% | 43% |
| 20260831 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 16.6% | 80% |
| 20260828 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 9.5% | 34% |
| 20260827 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 10.9% | 43% |
| 20260826 | $1.38 | $1.38 | 16.5% | 79% |
| 20260825 | $1.38 | $1.38 | 16.8% | 81% |
| 20260824 | $1.38 | $1.38 | 9.1% | 31% |
| 20260821 | $1.38 | $2.88 | 5.5% | 7% |
| 20260820 | $1.38 | $1.25 | 8.6% | 28% |
| 20260819 | $1.38 | $0.75 | 8.7% | 28% |
| 20260818 | $1.82 | $0.75 | 14.4% | 66% |
| 20260817 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 8.4% | 24% |
| 20260814 | $1.85 | $0.75 | 10.7% | 37% |
| 20260813 | $1.88 | $0.75 | 10.0% | 33% |
| 20260812 | $1.85 | $0.75 | 9.1% | 28% |
| 20260811 | $1.85 | $1.02 | 8.9% | 26% |
| 20260810 | $0.75 | $0.38 | 12.6% | 48% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 13.2% | 52% |
| 20260806 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 12.1% | 45% |
| 20260805 | $5.38 | $5.38 | 10.4% | 35% |
| 20260804 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 6.6% | 13% |
| 20260803 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 8.3% | 23% |
| 20260731 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 9.3% | 29% |
| 20260730 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 13.0% | 51% |
More on XBIL
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.