K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026

7 outcomesSettles Mar 31, 2028 (516d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line44%Above 640
Line nearest 50/50
44%
Above 640
Market median
638.333
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-1 pts
96%
Above 600
24h volume
$6K
$38K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 560 96% +1
Above 600 96% -1
Above 620 92%
Above 630 82%
Above 640 44%
Above 660 8%
Above 700 2%

What the market expects

median 638.333

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 600
    YES $15K · NO $0 · 5 orders · biggest $6K
  • Above 660
    YES $0 · NO $14K · 5 orders · biggest $7K
  • in 2026
    YES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
  • Above 640
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 600YES 95¢$1K
Above 600YES 95¢$5K
Above 600YES 94¢$6K
Above 600YES 94¢$1K
Above 640NO 47¢$1K
in 2026YES 95¢$3K
Above 660NO 89¢$2K
Above 660NO 87¢$7K
Above 660NO 87¢$2K
Above 660NO 87¢$2K

All outcomes

7
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 560 96% +1.0 $10 $2K
Above 600 96% -1.0 $1K $9K
Above 620 92% — $31 $7K
Above 630 82% -0.5 $16 $1K
Above 640 44% +0.5 $20 $6K
Above 660 8% +0.5 $69 $7K
Above 700 2% -0.5 $5K $6K