What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Mar 31, 2028 (516d) All outcomes: Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026

chance of YES96% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

78–96%

· 7d +6 pts

24h volume

1.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

9.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$15K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 28, 1:18 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,353	$1K
Oct 28, 1:17 PM ET	YES	95¢	5,000	$5K
Oct 28, 9:22 AM ET	YES	94¢	6,040	$6K
Oct 28, 1:07 AM ET	YES	94¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 27, 9:06 AM ET	YES	94¢	2,003	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.