What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Mar 31, 2028 (516d) All outcomes: Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026

chance of YES8% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

8–41%

30d -78 pts · 7d -31 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

6.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$14K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 2:44 PM ET	NO	89¢	2,307	$2K
Oct 27, 2:43 PM ET	NO	87¢	7,591	$7K
Oct 27, 2:35 PM ET	NO	87¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 27, 1:54 PM ET	NO	87¢	2,871	$2K
Oct 27, 9:05 AM ET	NO	87¢	1,281	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.