Core CPI YoY in November
50/50 line54%Above 2.8%
Line nearest 50/50
54%
Market median
2.816%
Biggest 24h move-1 pts
2%
24h volume
$1K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noWhat the market expects
median 2.816%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 3.2%YES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 3.0%YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 3.3%YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 3.4%YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.4% | NO | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Above 3.2% | NO | 96¢ | $1K | |
| Above 3.2% | NO | 91¢ | $2K | |
| Above 3.3% | NO | 95¢ | $1K | |
| Above 3.0% | NO | 79¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
5| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.7% | 76% | +1.0 | $44 | $6K |
| Above 2.8% | 54% | +9.0 | $11 | $3K |
| Above 2.9% | 31% | +7.0 | $105 | $41K |
| Above 3.0% | 12% | -3.0 | $98 | $5K |
| Above 3.4% | 2% | -1.0 | $1K | $1K |
Same series
- Core CPI YoY in December≈ Above 2.9% 44% · settles 2027-01-13