FAO Food Price Index for November
50/50 line47%Above 131.0
Line nearest 50/50
47%
Market median
130.889
Biggest 24h move-90 pts
6%
24h volume
$20K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 128.0
95%
Above 129.0
81%
Above 130.0
74%
Above 131.0
47%
-32
Above 132.0
43%
-24
Above 133.0
27%
Above 134.0
7%
Above 136.0
6%
-90
Above 135.0
5%
Above 137.0
4%
What the market expects
median 130.889Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 128.0YES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- Above 134.0YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 137.0YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 133.0YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 136.0YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 137.0 | NO | 90¢ | $1K | |
| Above 136.0 | NO | 84¢ | $1K | |
| Above 133.0 | NO | 52¢ | $1K | |
| Above 134.0 | NO | 66¢ | $2K | |
| Above 128.0 | YES | 93¢ | $3K |
All outcomes
10| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 128.0 | 95% | — | $3K | $3K |
| Above 129.0 | 81% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 130.0 | 74% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 131.0 | 47% | -32.0 | $3K | $2K |
| Above 132.0 | 43% | -24.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Above 133.0 | 27% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Above 134.0 | 7% | — | $4K | $3K |
| Above 136.0 | 6% | -89.5 | $4K | $2K |
| Above 135.0 | 5% | — | $1K | $1K |
| Above 137.0 | 4% | — | $2K | $1K |