How low will the S&P get this year?
50/50 line8%6,300 or below
Line nearest 50/50
8%
Runner-up
6%
Biggest 24h move+5 pts
6%
24h volume
$6K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- 6,300 or belowYES $0 · NO $4K · 3 orders · biggest $1K
- 5,900 or belowYES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,900 or below | NO | 98¢ | $3K | |
| 6,300 or below | NO | 90¢ | $1K | |
| 6,300 or below | NO | 90¢ | $1K | |
| 6,300 or below | NO | 91¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
5| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,300 or below | 8% | -2.0 | $2K | $121K |
| 6,100 or below | 6% | +4.4 | $53 | $40K |
| 6,000 or below | 6% | +4.8 | $603 | $66K |
| 6,200 or below | 5% | +1.5 | $81 | $48K |
| 5,900 or below | 3% | — | $3K | $144K |