Mammoth Mountain snowfall total by December 24th
50/50 line48%Above 95 inches
Line nearest 50/50
48%
Market median
92inches
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$144
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 35 inches
96%
-5
Above 50 inches
87%
-17
Above 65 inches
75%
-12
Above 80 inches
60%
-26
Above 95 inches
48%
-49
Above 110 inches
31%
-53
Above 125 inches
20%
-55
Above 140 inches
14%
Above 165 inches
8%
-86
What the market expects
median 92inchesChance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyAll outcomes
11| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 35 inches | 96% | -5.0 | $1 | $207 |
| Above 50 inches | 87% | -17.0 | $0 | $779 |
| Above 65 inches | 75% | -12.0 | $37 | $40 |
| Above 80 inches | 60% | -26.0 | $38 | $153 |
| Above 95 inches | 48% | -49.0 | $39 | $1K |
| Above 110 inches | 31% | -53.0 | $27 | $37 |
| Above 125 inches | 20% | -55.0 | $2 | $76 |
| Above 140 inches | 14% | — | $0 | $145 |
| Above 165 inches | 8% | -86.0 | $0 | $376 |
| Above 190 inches | 4% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 215 inches | 4% | — | $0 | $0 |