Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
50/50 line40%Above 1037 Ft
Line nearest 50/50
40%
Market median
1036.22Ft
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$912
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 1033 Ft
83%
+12
Above 1035 Ft
82%
+32
Above 1034 Ft
80%
+14
Above 1036 Ft
53%
Above 1037 Ft
40%
-30
Above 1038 Ft
36%
+35
Above 1040 Ft
22%
+3
Above 1039 Ft
20%
What the market expects
median 1036.22FtChance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyAll outcomes
8| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1033 Ft | 83% | +12.0 | $10 | $679 |
| Above 1035 Ft | 82% | +32.0 | $292 | $956 |
| Above 1034 Ft | 80% | +14.0 | $204 | $580 |
| Above 1036 Ft | 53% | — | $0 | $1K |
| Above 1037 Ft | 40% | -30.5 | $4 | $1K |
| Above 1038 Ft | 36% | +35.0 | $392 | $1K |
| Above 1040 Ft | 22% | +3.0 | $10 | $1K |
| Above 1039 Ft | 20% | — | $0 | $2K |