US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026
50/50 line96%Above 279M
Line nearest 50/50
96%
Market median
279.497M
Biggest 24h move+87 pts
96%
24h volume
$8K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 277M
98%
+8
Above 278M
96%
+87
Above 279M
96%
+25
Above 280M
4%
-64
Above 282M
3%
-8
Above 281M
3%
-58
Above 283M
1%
Above 284M
1%
Above 285M
1%
Above 286M
1%
Above 287M
1%
Above 288M
1%
What the market expects
median 279.497MChance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 279MYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 281MYES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 278MYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 279M | YES | 91¢ | $1K | |
| Above 278M | YES | 96¢ | $1K | |
| Above 281M | NO | 92¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
12| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 277M | 98% | +8.0 | $400 | $425 |
| Above 278M | 96% | +87.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Above 279M | 96% | +25.0 | $3K | $3K |
| Above 280M | 4% | -64.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Above 282M | 3% | -8.0 | $250 | $450 |
| Above 281M | 3% | -58.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Above 283M | 1% | — | $0 | $50 |
| Above 284M | 1% | — | $0 | $50 |
| Above 285M | 1% | — | $0 | $50 |
| Above 286M | 1% | — | $0 | $50 |
| Above 287M | 1% | — | $0 | $50 |
| Above 288M | 1% | — | $0 | $50 |