OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1
50/50 line56%Above 194T tokens
Line nearest 50/50
56%
Market median
194.6T
Biggest 24h move-62 pts
24%
24h volume
$12K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 180T tokens
100%
+3
Above 183T tokens
98%
+1
Above 185T tokens
98%
+2
Above 186T tokens
95%
-2
Above 187T tokens
95%
+52
Above 188T tokens
86%
+39
Above 190T tokens
86%
+72
Above 194T tokens
56%
-25
Above 196T tokens
36%
-38
Above 197T tokens
26%
-50
Above 200T tokens
24%
-62
Above 198T tokens
20%
-48
+ 1 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 194.6TChance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 180T tokensYES $6K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $6K
- Above 183T tokensYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 183T tokens | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 180T tokens | YES | 99¢ | $6K |
All outcomes
15| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 180T tokens | 100% | +3.0 | $6K | $8K |
| Above 183T tokens | 98% | +1.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Above 185T tokens | 98% | +1.5 | $795 | $849 |
| Above 186T tokens | 95% | -2.0 | $37 | $114 |
| Above 187T tokens | 95% | +52.0 | $3 | $6 |
| Above 189T tokens | 94% | — | $97 | $164 |
| Above 192T tokens | 90% | +0.5 | $53 | $128 |
| Above 188T tokens | 86% | +39.0 | $16 | $31 |
| Above 190T tokens | 86% | +72.0 | $15 | $34 |
| Above 194T tokens | 56% | -25.0 | $669 | $743 |
| Above 196T tokens | 36% | -38.0 | $124 | $544 |
| Above 197T tokens | 26% | -50.5 | $759 | $809 |
| Above 200T tokens | 24% | -61.5 | $817 | $818 |
| Above 198T tokens | 20% | -47.5 | $781 | $784 |
| Above 199T tokens | 17% | — | $859 | $859 |