What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1

chance of YES22% -62.5pp in 24h

Price range (29h)

25–85%

24h volume

817

$1 contracts

Open interest

818

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 29h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.